The Selwyn Growth Model provides Council with robust-projections for all towns and rural area as far out as 2048. However, national and regional trends may change. Funding decisions will be made about providing the infrastructure that is needed to support the growth. So, the model will be regularly updated to reflect this. Data such as building consents will be used to check projected growth against actual growth.

Read the existing Population Projections for the Selwyn District Council [PDF, 243 KB] that has been used in the development of the 2015-2025 Long Term Plan. See below for updated projections.

Selwyn's Potential Growth Path up to 2048

Until last year Selwyn was the nation's fastest growing district, and was for over six years. Selwyn is now the second fastest growing district behind Queenstown.

Growth occurred throughout the district, but the lion's share is in the "commuter belt", close to Christchurch. This high-growth area includes West Melton, Rolleston, Lincoln, Springston, Prebbleton and many rural "lifestyle blocks" and is addressed by the Greater Christchurch Urban Development Strategy.

To inform the development of the 2018 - 2028 Long Term Plan Council has updated its Population Projections out to 2048.

Finally, these projections are not set in stone. They will be updated regularly to reflect any big changes in water availability, zoning rules etc. So please come back from time to time and check the data. You just might find that things have changed!

Contact the duty planner on 347-2868 or email planninginfo@selwyn.govt.nz