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Selwyn continues to outperform national trends, cementing its position as one of New Zealand’s fastest-growing and most resilient economies.

The latest Infometrics quarterly report shows economic activity is on the rise, with Selwyn’s GDP growing 1.5% in the year to September 2025, while the national economy contracted by 0.5%. Among high-growth regions, Selwyn remains a standout performer.

Business confidence is also strong, reflected in a 3.6% increase in the number of businesses (compared to 1.0% nationally) and a 14% rise in commercial vehicle registrations, bucking the national decline of 3.0%.

Selwyn retains the mantle as having the fastest population growth in New Zealand, up 2.3% in the year to June 2025, despite a nationwide slowdown. Employment grew 3.2%, while nationally employment fell by 1.4%. Growth was driven by education and health sectors, offsetting a dip in construction.

Unemployment remains low at 3.1%, well below Canterbury (4.8%) and the national average (5.2%). Youth engagement is strong, with a Not in Employment, Education, or Training (NEET) rate of 6.2%, significantly better than Canterbury (11.4%) and New Zealand overall (13.3%).

Consumer spending rose 2.6%, contrasting with a national decline of 0.8%. Tourism expenditure fell 5.6%, highlighting an opportunity for future growth.

The dairy sector is thriving, with the 2024/25 payout forecast at $772 million, up $194 million from last season.

Selwyn’s housing market remains active and relatively affordable. House values rose 1.6%, and sales volumes surged over 20%. Residential consents hit 480 new dwellings this quarter, among the highest on record. Selwyn’s affordability ratio of 5.4 is better than Canterbury (6.1) and the national average (6.4).

In terms of social indicators, school attendance improved to 63.4%, outperforming national and regional averages. Crime rates continue to decline, now at 83 per 10,000 residents, less than half the national rate.

Selwyn Mayor Lydia Gliddon said these results show Selwyn is in a strong position, but there is still work for the Council to do in managing spending for the community.

“Planning is already underway for our next Annual Plan cycle, and we look forward to working alongside our community to plan Selwyn’s future and deliver efficiencies.

“Our focus remains on balancing growth with affordability and ensuring that the benefits of this economic strength are felt across our communities.”

While tourism remains a growth opportunity, the district’s performance in business confidence, employment, and housing signals a positive outlook for 2026.

Last modified: 25 Nov 2025 8:24am